Water works expected to flow: Black & Veatch
Richard Collins
Wednesday, 14 January 2009
Black & Veatch Water CEO Dan McCarthy is upbeat about the Australian water sector, forecasting continued growth over the next 5-7 years despite tightening access to capital and a cautious public.
The multinational water company has been lifting its profile in Australia since re-entering the market in 2006 following the rush to build billion dollar desalination and recycling projects.
McCarthy predicts ongoing investment in this water scarcity infrastructure, albeit on a smaller scale and increasingly in regional areas, plus a suite of more routine projects that have been sidelined in the building boom.
“That is where I see the market, with those two issues – completing the water scarcity investment and the backlog of other routine capital improvements and rehabilitation projects,” he told Environmental Management News.
“The water market, at least from what I hear from the utility managers in leading positions in the country, is going to be a robust market for the next five to seven years.
“I think it is going to be a strong market for investment. Now, of course the economic outlook can change that, not from a [water] needs stand point but access to capital funds and an affordability perspective to citizens because of the stress they are under.”
McCarthy makes the pitch that investment in water and wastewater infrastructure would not only pump prime the economy, but catch up on historic under-spending globally.
There is some evidence to support the view, both locally and abroad. In December the Federal Government released guidelines governing the $1 billion National Urban Water and Desalination Plan to fund large-scale projects.
In the US, McCarthy says the US$850 billion stimulus package President-elect Barak Obama will put to Congress in February could include US$50-100 billion ($75-150 billion) for water projects.
“It is still uncertain how this will all shake out, and then there is the question of how much of [the money] will be grants and how much as zero low interest loans… to spring the utilities’ investment cycles going forward,” he said.
South Korea has just announced it will invest $US38 billion over the next four years in a series of eco-friendly projects to stimulate economic growth, including cleanup of the country’s four main rivers.
Japan too is developing a billion dollar stimulus package to expand the green business market, including zero-interest loans for environmentally-friendly companies and spending on infrastructure. It is unclear if water projects will be included in the program, to be unveiled in March.
McCarthy, who is currently touring Australia, expects local utilities to continue investing.
“It does not appear that projects are being deferred. Certainly they are being scaled back and being more frugal, because money is tight, so it has been about prioritising and making sure what they spend - when they spend it - is the right decision,” he said.
Reader Comments (1)
Scott Adams' Blog (the Dilbert Blog) recently asked "Who will screw us next?"
http://dilbert.com/blog/entry/who_will_screw_us_next/
The basic theme of the piece was about how big business and vested interests manipulate various markets and screw regular investors and the general public.
Quote:
I was one of Enron's victims when that company manipulated the energy prices in California and looted the residents.
A recent report on 60 Minutes described how big banks, speculators, and hedge funds caused oil prices to skyrocket in 2008 despite falling demand and rising supply. I got screwed in that deal just like the rest of you.
Adams then asked:
Quote:
This got me wondering who will screw us next. You know someone is manipulating the market whenever you see a bubble, a relatively sudden shortage, a scare, or any investment that is too complicated to understand. Armed with that knowledge, where is the next bubble, scam, scare, or artificial shortage?
The following day, the next blog entry was "Answer to: Who will screw us next?"
http://dilbert.com/blog/entry/answer_to_who_will_screw_us_next/
Quote:
Yesterday I asked you to identify the next economic bubble or artificial shortage that is likely to form. You did better than I expected. The winning suggestion: WATER.
In order to have a good artificial shortage you need several things to be true:
The commodity must be essential.
There is a plausible "natural" explanation for the shortage.
Only large companies have the resources to increase supply.
The government is involved in some way.
The media hasn't yet obsessed about it, but could.
Inventions to solve the problem are noticeably absent.
There are futures contracts for it.
Water has it all, except for the existence of futures contracts, as far as I can tell. Once you see a market for water futures forming, bend over. That's when the manipulation will begin. Crooks prefer manipulating financial markets over building reservoirs.
The plausible explanation for the worldwide shortage is that the population is growing faster than the supply of clean water. Add global warming to the mix and you have plausible explanations for worldwide droughts. That's the cover story. It's true enough to mask the artificial shortages that will be caused by the speculators and hedge funds.
So how can you invest and make money in water now, before the bubble tops?"
End quote>
Is this a spooky insight into the Qld water grid and it's new management company (SEQWGM), the QWC, irrigation licensing, seemingly unnecessary dams and industry chatter of a "robust water market".
Or am I just paranoid?